Harvest Risk

Built for Rural & Agriculture · Farm economy, land and disaster recovery

A live ag-risk monitor — drought, pests, prices, and input costs roll into a risk score per crop with an 'act now' flag.

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Columbia / Gilchrist Co. · Pod fill

Soybeans

~2,100 ac tracked

Watch closely

46%

risk

Combined risk · move on this first

Watch closely — top driver is price weakness vs. break-even

Risk is building, led by price weakness vs. break-even. Not urgent yet — re-check this one within the week.

Recommended first move: Lock in forward contracts or basis while bids hold, and revisit your crop-insurance price election before the deadline.

Indicator readings (0–100, higher = more risk)

Drought / soil moisture38

adequate moisture

Pest & disease pressure28

light pressure · soybean looper, low

Price weakness vs. break-even · driver72

well below break-even

Input-cost squeeze44

costs elevated

Where the score comes from

Price · driver72 × 25% = 18

Drought38 × 35% = 13

Input cost44 × 20% = 9

Pest28 × 20% = 6

Σ combined score46 / 100

If you act on a factor — what it does

Price

Lock in forward contracts or basis while bids hold, and revisit your crop-insurance price election before the deadline.

Drought

Line up irrigation windows and confirm water-district allocations before the next dry stretch; prioritize the most moisture-sensitive growth stage.

Input cost

Pre-buy fertilizer and diesel while priced, or shift toward lower-input practices (variable-rate, cover, reduced passes) to protect margin.

Pest

Scout fields this week and pre-position approved treatments ahead of the pressure curve; rotate modes of action to slow resistance.

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Showcase demo for the Born Between 2 Generals summit. Showcase · best home: Nonprofit / constituent service. Seeded with realistic sample data; runs payment-dark (no billing). Not a production system.